Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 7.982476 8.985480 10.177441 11.732962 13.766472 16.427659 20.358395
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 7.555839 9.049743 11.055897 14.123161 19.108695 27.996705 49.727982
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 6.630530 8.256975 10.624682 14.692973 22.671167 42.685058 171.580721
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 6.230142 8.099453 11.086550 17.047594 32.638474 119.557983 NaN
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 5.790770 7.797811 11.271465 19.273827 49.032295 NaN NaN
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 5.206982 7.156408 10.696255 19.661168 64.575994 NaN NaN
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 4.668698 6.502496 9.940494 19.251752 79.915162 NaN NaN
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 4.547132 6.549994 10.632248 24.054509 375.074327 NaN NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.601496 6.939382 12.316527 37.273518 NaN NaN NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.458875 6.923276 13.073633 51.597961 NaN NaN NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.262709 6.759851 13.388905 68.638172 NaN NaN NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.039251 6.497742 13.312582 86.037996 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.763249 6.123367 12.901563 105.476807 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.595366 5.969860 13.245969 201.004973 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.279980 5.421079 11.884138 151.340719 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.115437 5.210466 11.784763 252.257232 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.946120 4.963036 11.447147 400.512246 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.735249 4.588096 10.459669 267.006287 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.536042 4.224009 9.449297 164.162115 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 2.477432 4.195680 9.819903 599.758370 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 2.481272 4.324172 10.997114 NaN NaN NaN NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 2.421064 4.278726 11.363992 NaN NaN NaN NaN
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 2.343829 4.176774 11.393077 NaN NaN NaN NaN